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Home BUSINESS

Dr Reddy’s Q2 Forecast Shows Mixed Signals as US Sales Dip

by Bala Shivam
3 weeks ago
in BUSINESS, NEWS
Reading Time: 10 mins read
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Dr Reddy’s Laboratories is poised for a quarter of moderate growth as it navigates mixed global markets, with domestic demand offering some relief against softening US sales. Investors and analysts are closely watching how the company balances margin pressures and strategic acquisitions in a challenging environment.

US Market Faces Decline Amid Generic Pressure

Analysts expect Dr Reddy’s US business to face a 6 percent decline in sales in Q2 FY26, largely due to falling Revlimid sales and ongoing price erosion in its core generic portfolio. The company has struggled to maintain market share in a highly competitive space, where pricing pressures continue to squeeze margins.

  • Key generics have experienced stiff competition, contributing to revenue contraction.

  • Revlimid sales, a significant contributor to US revenue in past quarters, are declining due to patent expiries and increasing competition.

ICICI Securities noted that despite these challenges, Dr Reddy’s passed several USFDA inspections, including formulations and biologics units, with only minor observations. The company’s API plants in New York and Telangana were classified as VAI (Voluntary Action Indicated), signaling satisfactory compliance levels.

pharmaceutical business

Domestic Business Provides Cushion

On the home front, Dr Reddy’s India operations are expected to grow around 8 percent year-on-year, driven by strong domestic demand and GST-related benefits in September 2025. This growth reflects the resilience of India’s pharmaceutical market even as global headwinds persist.

  • HDFC Securities highlighted that the NRT business contributed around Rs 670 crore, supporting overall revenue growth.

  • The domestic segment remains a reliable revenue source amid international volatility.

The company’s focus on India underlines its strategy to diversify revenue streams and mitigate risks from the US market. Strong domestic performance could help offset international pricing pressures, maintaining a balanced overall growth trajectory.

Margin Pressures Could Affect Profitability

Despite revenue growth, profitability is expected to face pressure. HDFC Securities projects gross margins may shrink, while operating costs remain stable, putting EBITDA margins under strain. Analysts caution that this could temper overall earnings for the quarter.

  • Rising raw material costs and competition in key markets are major contributors to margin pressure.

  • Operating expenses are expected to remain stable, limiting flexibility in managing profitability.

The financial outlook suggests that while Dr Reddy’s can maintain revenue momentum, investors should remain cautious about near-term profitability trends.

Strategic Moves and Acquisitions Strengthen Portfolio

Dr Reddy’s is taking steps to expand its global footprint despite market challenges. Recently, the company signed an agreement to acquire the STUGERON brand from Janssen Pharmaceutica NV for USD 50.5 million, broadening its product presence across 18 markets in APAC, EMEA, and the Middle East.

  • This acquisition complements the company’s existing inorganic portfolio in Europe, contributing to diversified revenue streams.

  • Strategic moves indicate a focus on long-term growth beyond the US market.

Additionally, Dr Reddy’s has appointed Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP as its statutory auditor from FY26-27, signaling enhanced governance and transparency efforts. These initiatives may strengthen investor confidence amidst challenging market conditions.

Regulatory Compliance Remains a Key Strength

ICICI Securities highlighted that regulatory updates are largely positive. USFDA inspections showed no major compliance issues, suggesting that Dr Reddy’s manufacturing processes remain robust and capable of supporting future growth.

  • Compliance with USFDA standards is critical to maintaining access to one of the largest pharmaceutical markets globally.

  • Observations from inspections were minor and expected to be addressed without disrupting operations.

Maintaining regulatory strength helps the company navigate complex global markets and positions it favorably for new product approvals.

Outlook and Investor Considerations

As Dr Reddy’s prepares to announce its Q2 FY26 results, the market expects a blend of steady domestic growth and US market challenges. Strategic acquisitions and solid regulatory compliance offer long-term promise, but margin pressures and declining US sales remain key concerns.

Investors will likely focus on revenue growth from India and Europe, the impact of the STUGERON acquisition, and any updates on US generics pricing. How the company manages costs and maintains compliance will be central to sustaining profitability in a volatile environment.

In conclusion, Dr Reddy’s Q2 results are shaping up as a mixed bag of moderate growth, strategic expansion, and margin pressures. The company’s ability to balance domestic momentum with global challenges will define its near-term trajectory. What do you think about Dr Reddy’s growth prospects? Share this article with your friends and join the discussion.

Bala Shivam

Bala Shivam

Bala Shivam is a seasoned tech content writer with a passion for translating complex concepts into accessible, engaging articles. With years of experience in the industry, Bala's expertise shines through in his ability to craft informative and compelling content that keeps readers informed and inspired.

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